ProbFut

Football probability analysis powered by Elo ratings, Poisson distribution & Monte Carlo simulation.

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Leagues

Brasileirão Série A Bundesliga LaLiga Ligue 1 Premier League Serie A

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Dashboard Standings Magic Numbers Simulator

Magic Numbers

Live projections

The Kinetic
Ledger.

Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.

Brasileirão Série A

Palmeiras

88%Libertadores

Wins for Libertadores

Flamengo

84%Libertadores

Wins for Libertadores

Fluminense

50%Libertadores

Wins for Libertadores

Sao Paulo

45%Libertadores

Wins for Libertadores

Bahia

36%Sulamericana

Wins for Sulamericana

Athletico Paranaense

44%Sulamericana

Wins for Sulamericana

Coritiba

43%Sulamericana

Wins for Sulamericana

RB Bragantino

46%Sulamericana

Wins for Sulamericana

Botafogo

38%Sulamericana

Wins for Sulamericana

Vasco DA Gama

41%Sulamericana

Wins for Sulamericana

Vitoria

48%Sulamericana

Wins for Sulamericana

Atletico-MG

43%Sulamericana

Wins for Sulamericana

Gremio

39%Sulamericana

Wins for Sulamericana

Internacional

33%Sulamericana

Wins for Sulamericana

Santos

30%Sulamericana

Wins for Sulamericana

Cruzeiro

20%Sulamericana

Wins for Sulamericana

Corinthians

27%Sulamericana

Wins for Sulamericana

Mirassol

21%Sulamericana

Wins for Sulamericana

Remo

17%Sulamericana

Wins for Sulamericana

Chapecoense-sc

12%Sulamericana

Wins for Sulamericana